2026 Midterms

Senate, House, and governor control maps with Kalshi market odds.

Democrats have a 62% chance to control the Senate

50Democrats

47Republicans

Map source

KalshiLive (DDHQ results)LwC prediction/calls

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States without a Kalshi market quote stay gray.

Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Tilt D
Tossup
Tilt R
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
Not on the 2026 ballot

Ohio Senate

Sherrod BrownDemocrat

59%

Jon HustedRepublican

41%

Maine Senate

Troy JacksonDemocrat

60%

Susan CollinsRepublican

40%

Texas Senate

James TalaricoDemocrat

60%

Ken PaxtonRepublican

40%

Michigan Senate

Abdul El-SayedDemocrat

69%

Mike RogersRepublican

31%

Alaska Senate

Mary PeltolaDemocrat

70%

Dan SullivanRepublican

30%

New Hampshire Senate

Chris PappasDemocrat

86%

John SununuRepublican

14%

Florida Senate

Angela NixonDemocrat

10%

Ashley MoodyRepublican

90%

North Carolina Senate

Roy CooperDemocrat

94%

Michael WhatleyRepublican

Georgia Senate

Jon OssoffDemocrat

96%

Mike CollinsRepublican