- Dan SullivanR
- Mary PeltolaD
- Mary Peltola35%
- Dan Sullivan65%
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Market chance of winningKalshi market69.5% D · 31.5% R
| Source | Measure | Value |
|---|---|---|
| LWC prediction | Model forecast | Tilt R(35% D 65% R) |
| Cook Political Report | Expert rating | Toss Up |
| Crystal Ball | Expert rating | Toss-up |
| Inside Elections | Expert rating | Tilt Republican |
Alaska · Kalshi
Daily Yes prices · 2026-01-22 to 2026-09-29
9/29Dem 69.5%Rep 31.5%
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- AK
Cycle receipts · common dollar scale
- Mary Peltola$18,545,132Filing through 2026-07-29
- Dan Sullivan$11,735,898Filing through 2026-07-29