MI Senate · Election 2026

Michigan Senate 2026

Mike Rogers
R
Abdul El-Sayed
D
Lydia Christensen
LIB
Douglas Marsh
GRN
Tim Long
US Taxpayers
Walter Kristy
Natural Law

Abdul El-Sayed
56%
Mike Rogers
44%

Market observed: Oct 8, 2026

Market chance of winningKalshi market69.0% D · 32.0% R

Polling vote shareRCP averageD 47.0% · R 43.5%

Source	Measure	Value
LWC prediction	Model forecast	Tossup(56% D 44% R)
Cook Political Report	Expert rating	Toss Up
Crystal Ball	Expert rating	Toss-up
Inside Elections	Expert rating	Toss-up
LWC call	Called result	Live

Michigan · Kalshi

Daily Yes prices · 2026-01-21 to 2026-10-08

10/8Dem 69.0%Rep 32.0%

FEC · coverage through 2026-07-15

Highest-receipts filer per party, which may differ from the nominees. Latest available filing per candidate.

MI
Cycle receipts · common dollar scale
- Abdul El-Sayed$14,514,336Filing through 2026-07-15
- Michael J Rogers$10,903,169Filing through 2026-09-30