Kalshi Senate Prediction Map
Blue is a Democratic lead above 55%, red a Republican lead below 45%, and yellow a 45–55 tossup. Grey means no live quote or a seat not on the 2026 ballot.
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Market-favored seats plus held seats · not a control probability
Democrats 52
Republicans 47
1 without a quote · 51 for a Democratic majority; 50–50 means Republican control via VP
- Dem ≥70%
- Dem 60–69%
- Dem 56–59%
- Tossup 45–55%
- Rep 56–59%
- Rep 60–69%
- Rep ≥70%
- Off ballot / no book
Select a state.
Senate control
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