Seven swing and bellwether districts to watch in 2026. Choose map colors by 2024 return lean or current poll margin. Missing polls stay unavailable. Select a district for lean, polling, and the latest return.
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Curated battleground selection · colors use 2024 return margin (positive = Dem).
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| District | Partisan lean (2024 returns) | Poll margin | Poll D / R | 2024 return | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado CD-8 | R+0.7 | — | — / — | R+0.7 | BellwetherSwing |
| Pennsylvania CD-10 | R+1.3 | — | — / — | R+1.3 | BellwetherSwing |
| Arizona CD-1 | R+3.8 | — | — / — | R+3.8 | BellwetherSwing |
| Washington CD-3 | D+3.9 | — | — / — | D+3.9 | BellwetherSwing |
| California CD-22 | R+6.8 | — | — / — | R+6.8 | BellwetherSwing |
| New Jersey CD-11 | D+14.7 | — | — / — | D+14.7 | BellwetherSwing |
| Michigan CD-1 | R+19.6 | — | — / — | R+19.6 | Swing |